I Don't Like to Pick on Jaime, But...
The other day, Jaime gave us a post entitled "Unfinished Business" in which he observed that their is much work left to be done in Iraq, and that this work has been made much more difficult be the Bush Administration's lack of foreign policy acumen. He made eight points which I reproduce below in their entirety (in italics). My response to each point is also included.
1. The coalition was a patchwork team of countries that in no way represents global unity or will.
The coalition of the willing included 49 countries as of March 27. Among them were: African nations Ethiopia and Eritrea and predominantly
Muslim nations Albania, Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Turkey and Uzbekistan. We had support from every populated continent. Hardly a patchwork.
2. France and Russia have provided the world anti-American leadership that has been a spoiler to U.S. diplomatic goals. France and Russia do not presently show any signs of relenting to the U.S. They are working against the U.S. because we have made them our diplomatic enemies. Regardless of their economic or military might, they are world leaders, and they are using their position of leadership to burden the United States. The longer things continue like this, the more difficult compromise becomes.
Actually, Russia has quickly backed away from supporting France. An article in the Telegraph (thanks
Instapundit) yesterday reported the following:
The anti-war coalition of France, Germany and Russia seemed to be crumbling yesterday after President Vladimir Putin put out a series of conciliatory signals to America. Senior Russian officials told the Izvestia daily newspaper that the Kremlin has "no illusions about any long-term perspectives for the axis"... The source added that Russia never expected any long-term principled position from either France or Germany.
Other reports indicate that Russia is considering all of the eight billion dollars in Iraqi debt that it is currently carrying in order to improve relations with the United States.
3. There is intense jockeying throughout the world for the billions of dollars of contracts related to the rebuilding of the U.S. The fractiousness of the Security Council members right now
You bet there is. And you know what? The people who helped free Iraq will rightly get first dibs on the contracts. This whole "let the UN rebuild" movement is nothing more than a way to get France's dirty little hands back in the cookie jar.
4. Arab moderates around the world are disgusted with the U.S. for attacking Iraq. After 9/11, many moderates began to question the underpinnings of Arab society with new force. They are the best hope within Arab society for stable, Arab-led democratic movements. It would be positive for the U.S. to promote stronger ties with them. Now, they’re fed up with the U.S. More importantly, the war has caused them to lose ground within Arab society to more radical elements.
As I noted above, several Muslim countries will members of the coalition. Kuwait, Qatar, and Jordan provided material support to the war effort. Arab moderates are not disgusted with us -- unless you consider moderate the extremists on the streets of Cairo. Second, what if any evidence do you have that "moderates" have lost ground within Arab society to more radical elements? I have seen nothing of the sort. In fact, Palestinian Authority Prime Minister Mahmoud Abbas has recently picked a reformist cabinet. (Which was, of course, rejected by that asshole Arafat.) Sounds to me like the more moderate elements have been emboldened by the U.S. action.
5. The war destabilized the U.N. Before this war, there was global sympathy for the U.S. because of 9/11. The Bush administration could have removed Saddam Hussein with true global support if it had practiced more intelligent diplomacy. More Colin Powell and less Rumsfeld/Chaney/Wolfowitz. Ultimately, a multi-national body of consequence is vital to world order. The U.N. better serves U.S. interests than those of any other country. The U.N. does a lot of good. The world needs it. So does the U.S.
The U.N. has always been unstable. Any sympathy we had from 9/11 was lost as soon as we went into Afghanistan to exact our revenge. Jaime, you allege that the Bush Administration could have removed Saddam with true global support if only it would practice more intelligent diplomacy (by the way, notice the "Bush is stupid" slant to this comment – won’t you guys ever learn?). You suggest that more Powell, less Rumsfeld is the answer. Yet, when Powell took the diplomatic route at the U.N. he was treated with the utmost of disrespect, and has widely be called a failure for it (take, for example Sen. Dachle's comments to that effect). Do you really think he could have changed anybody’s mind if given additional time? You offer no suggestion as to how Powell would have accomplished removing Saddam, nor do you offer any timetable for an "intelligent diplomacy" plan to work. One thing is for sure, though. If we followed the "intelligent diplomacy" that you suggest, hundreds of children would still be in the "Children's Gulag" that we liberated in Iraq the other day. As for the necessity of the U.N., you make assertions, but offer no reasons why the U.N. is good and more importantly, why the U.S. needs it. That the U.N. is vital to American interests is not entirely clear to me. We certainly did not need their help in this war -- nor will we need their help in this peace.
6. Iraq is an ethnically fractious amalgamation of lots of different tribes and peoples. There is a clear expectation now that the U.S. succeed in getting these groups to work together. Failure to do so will amount to a U.S. failure.
First of all, they are not tribes anymore than different races/religious sects are tribes in this country. Second, are you really saying that if we don't get the groups to work well together, then they are not better off than they were while living under Saddam Hussein? The simple fact that he is gone means success. Providing a framework for a new Iraqi government that respects human dignity and freedom will mean additional success.
7. Turkey is an unpredictable force on Iraq’s northern border.
Actually, the Turks are entirely predictable. As long we say that we'll kick the crap out of them if they go in, they will not go in.
8. Only time will tell whether other world leaders who aid and abet terrorists will hear the message that Bush attempted to send. The flipside of this war is that developing WMD (especially nuclear) may be the only way to prevent the U.S. from invading.
Time is already telling us. First, we have North Korea coming to the
multi-lateral table for talks on the U.S.'s terms. Second, Palestinian Authority PM appoints a reformist cabinet. Third, a high-profile Iranian conservative calls for a reexamination of Iran's relationship with Israel. Fourth, Belarussian dictator Alexandr Lukashenko has agreed to allow human rights groups back into his country after a two year absence.
Jaime, I encourage you to respond to my response (with facts, not ad hominems).